Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.000098 0.000104 0.000110 0.000116 0.000123 0.000131 0.000140
2025-01-19 0.000087 0.000095 0.000103 0.000113 0.000124 0.000137 0.000153
2025-01-26 0.000079 0.000087 0.000097 0.000108 0.000122 0.000138 0.000159
2025-02-02 0.000076 0.000085 0.000095 0.000109 0.000125 0.000145 0.000173
2025-02-09 0.000074 0.000084 0.000095 0.000111 0.000130 0.000155 0.000191
2025-02-16 0.000072 0.000083 0.000095 0.000112 0.000135 0.000165 0.000210
2025-02-23 0.000072 0.000084 0.000098 0.000118 0.000145 0.000182 0.000242
2025-03-02 0.000068 0.000080 0.000095 0.000115 0.000143 0.000182 0.000247
2025-03-09 0.000065 0.000076 0.000091 0.000111 0.000139 0.000180 0.000248
2025-03-16 0.000063 0.000075 0.000090 0.000110 0.000141 0.000185 0.000263
2025-03-23 0.000063 0.000075 0.000090 0.000113 0.000146 0.000196 0.000288
2025-03-30 0.000061 0.000073 0.000088 0.000111 0.000146 0.000199 0.000300
2025-04-06 0.000058 0.000070 0.000085 0.000108 0.000142 0.000197 0.000304
2025-04-13 0.000055 0.000067 0.000082 0.000105 0.000140 0.000197 0.000311
2025-04-20 0.000052 0.000064 0.000078 0.000100 0.000135 0.000191 0.000306
2025-04-27 0.000051 0.000063 0.000078 0.000101 0.000138 0.000200 0.000333
2025-05-04 0.000051 0.000063 0.000078 0.000103 0.000143 0.000212 0.000372
2025-05-11 0.000050 0.000062 0.000079 0.000104 0.000147 0.000225 0.000415
2025-05-18 0.000051 0.000063 0.000081 0.000109 0.000158 0.000252 0.000503
2025-05-25 0.000049 0.000061 0.000079 0.000107 0.000155 0.000249 0.000509
2025-06-01 0.000047 0.000059 0.000076 0.000103 0.000150 0.000243 0.000503
2025-06-08 0.000046 0.000058 0.000075 0.000103 0.000152 0.000250 0.000540
2025-06-15 0.000046 0.000058 0.000076 0.000105 0.000157 0.000266 0.000617